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“I am a Canadian, free to speak without fear, free to worship in my own way, free to stand for what I think right, free to oppose what I believe wrong, or free to choose those who shall govern my country. This heritage of freedom I pledge to uphold for myself and all mankind.” ~~ John G. Diefenbaker

Projection Update: Signs of Liberal life, or a mirage? (The WRIT)


The last week of polling has caused a little whiplash, as a couple of new polls show a narrowing (but still wide) gap between the Conservatives and the Liberals, while others show no change at all.

For the time being, we should take a cautious approach to these diverging trendlines. The consensus, and the Poll Tracker I’m running for the CBC, suggest that little-to-no-change is more likely than a radical shift in voting intentions. But we should keep an eye on the next set of numbers and watch if those few stand-out polls are picking up something new or not ...

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