BESLER: This brings, to a crushing end, the ever popular vote split argument in BC -- once and for all
BC elections are still making history.
British Columbians
have just gone to the polls to elect the first minority government in 65 years.
Granted there are still a few ridings that will be facing recounts and that may
swing things a bit. But for now, it just so happens that BC has been graced
with the instability of a minority government.
#BCpoli has always been a strange brew, but this past
election proved that the brew may have soured a tad more than usual. Politics
in BC has become a place where everyone is a loser and the biggest loser wins.
Which is probably why the classic rock hit by Tom Petty & the
Heartbreakers, even the losers (get lucky sometimes), has been skipping
like a broken record through my head these past few days.
The polls reported that the BC Liberals took 43 seats, the
BC NDP 41, and the Greens 3. No party is of yet able to cross that 44 seat
thresh hold to form government on their own.
So who won, really?
Surely not the Greens with their measly 3 seats?
Unable to even garner official party status. That's right
- not that I would rub it in - but there is no taxpayer funded budget for them
to operate with this time. Oh, and so close too. Just one seat. If they could
only have gotten just ... One ... More ... Seat!
Still, Green Party leader, Andrew
Weaver, is respectively the most powerful man in the province - holding the
balance of power in BC's legislature.
Subject to the judicial recount Weaver and his Greens have
brought the majority government to its knees. The Premier will be looking to
the little green guy to kneel before, patiently awaiting his dubbing her
Premier, by his confidence. Further to this, the Greens get to boast, with
feather in cap, parading through out the nation of the first time any Green
Party had made any sort of gains in consecutive elections in any of its
provinces.
But surely we can't say that the Greens won the election, can we? So who won? The
NDP?
Even after the recount of the ridings with close victory
margins the NDP will not gain a 44 seat majority - although I'm sure they are
filling up their war chest for potential by-elections. Imagine a case where a
by-election could move a party from minority to majority. I'd buy front row
seats for that battle.
So did the NDP really win this election? Perhaps some may like to think.
Historically they have never been so close to an electoral
victory in this province without the gift of a “vote split” on the right. This
next term – however long it may be - may come down to the battle of the party
whips, ensuring all hands on deck at all times. Sorry, if you wanted to see
more of your elected MLA in their riding, you may not get your wish. Any lack
of attendance by any MLA could determine the outcome of legislation.
It's just that close. Yes, the sanctity of the legislature
may start feeling more like a prison cell for those in high office – but isn't
there some satisfaction in knowing that?
Yes, the NDP have definitely garnered more influence in
the legislature than they have had in 16 years.
What of other influences do the NDP have?
Could the leadership of the BC Liberals with their deeply
entrenched Federal Liberal credentials be swayed to introduce policies further
left of centre than they already have? Will they help to do what the Provincial
Conservatives did in Alberta
by governing so far to the left as to disenfranchise their much needed
conservative base and in doing so elect the NDP?!
If I was a betting man, I would put my money down on the
NDP winning the next election, for this reason alone. That said, the NDP's long
game is waning, and the Greens are taking full advantage.
This leads us to the biggest losers in the 2017 election.
Christy Clark and her BC Liberals.
Did the BC Liberals really win?
The BC Liberal coalition is eroding. Many previous
supporters stayed home instead of casting their vote in this election.
The Conservative side of the coalition was faced with the
choice between taxes, more taxes, or even more taxes; while British Columbians
simply don't want a cheer leader to lead their team, they want a coach. They
want a coach who is the real deal and it is in the best interest of the BC
Liberal Party to understand this.
There was never an election where the BC Liberals had such
an advantage going into this election. In fact their advantage was greater than
the Party's inaugural victory that gave Gordon Campbell his massive majority in
2001. Were the results ever different?!
Like the 2001 election, the threat on the right had been
annihilated. However, Campbell didn't have the
advantage of years of excellence in economic stewardship by the party to fall
back on as Clark did.
So who won?
When the polls closed on May 9th Christy Clark
and her BC Liberals were still in power, but it felt like anything but a
victory. Even if the recounts hold them in power, whether as a minority or
majority government, it is clear that Christy Clark government took the biggest
loss in this election.
Don't believe me?
Think of all the cabinet ministers who didn't find
re-election. The list is too depressing for me to list here.
For the first time in a long time the BC Liberals faced no
split on the right. Moreover, the Greens are now well rooted in its divide of
the left side of the political spectrum, at the same time, the NDP picked up
additional seats. This brings to a crushing end, the ever popular vote split
argument in BC -- once and for all.
No party, in British
Columbia, is entitled to any vote. The vote of a British Columbian is earned; but
you already knew that already.
That's because you went to the polls collectively, with
your fellow British Columbians on May 9th.
On that date you decided collectively that not one party had earned the
right, and confidence, to govern alone.
BEN BESLER ... active in provincial politics and a card carrying BC
Liberal - Ben is a former Vice President of the BC Conservative Party,
and Regional Organizer for the successful Fight HST citizens initiative.
Well first of all there is a split in BC like we have never seen before. It is now a North South Split. The Liberals did great north of the Lower Mainland. They even picked up long-time NDP seats in the North. The NDP started to gain votes from Langley Southward and to the West. I say Langley because for the first time in memory they got less than 50% of the vote in some of the ridings. I say the real winners were the Green Party. And did the green party portray itself as a left wing alternative? Not at all. They only had a few election promises. So they were a party that disenchanted right wingers could vote for and that many voters chose to do. The Green party actually ended up being the party that the BC Conservatives should have been. But with the yahoo elitists gaining control of the BC Conservatives they royally screwed up any prospect of a center right party gaing any support in the election. No sir we did NOT collectively decide that not one party had earned the right and confidence to govern alone. What the voters did was what I did and that was vote for anybody but the two old line parties. Fortunately I had a fringe party running in my riding. The fellow that ran appeared to be a right of center individual so I voted for him. I hoping beyond hope that a viable right of center party will emerge before the next election. However I am not overly optimistic.
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