The combined size
of the federal, provincial, and municipal governments increased in all
but two provinces over the 2007 to 2019 period relative
to the sizes of their
economies, finds
a new study released today by the Fraser Institute, an independent, non-partisan
Canadian public policy
think-tank.
“The
size of government increased in eight of ten
provinces and the country as a whole going into the pandemic,”
said Alex
Whalen, policy analyst at the
Fraser Institute and co-author of
The Size of
Government in Canada
in 2019.
The study
measures federal, provincial, and local
government
spending in each province as a share of the
economy (GDP) from 2007
to 2019, the most recent year of comparable data.
Both 2007
and 2019 preceded a recession and thus provide an opportunity to compare
like-years.
It finds
that
government size grew in every province except Saskatchewan and Prince Edward
Island during that
period. In
2019, the
size of government relative to the economy as a whole across
Canada ranged
from a
low of 29.7 per cent
in Alberta to a
high of 60.2
per cent in
Nova Scotia,
and was 40.4 per cent for Canada as a whole.
Previous
research has shown that the size of government (as
a share of the economy) to maximize economic
growth and social progress is
between 26 and
30 per cent of the economy (GDP). When governments exceed
that size, it imposes negative
effects on
the economy, such as
crowding out
private sector investment, but without providing
proportionate
benefits such as greater social progress.
Crucially,
the data used in the analysis is prior to COVID-19
and recession-related
spending, meaning the size of government already exceeded the optimal
size prior to
the current spike in spending.
“It’s important
to understand just how
much governments
across Canada have grown in recent years, and what impact that might
have on our economic recovery moving forward,” said Whalen.
To read the full report, CLICK HERE
Comments
Post a Comment