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“I am a Canadian, free to speak without fear, free to worship in my own way, free to stand for what I think right, free to oppose what I believe wrong, or free to choose those who shall govern my country. This heritage of freedom I pledge to uphold for myself and all mankind.” ~~ John G. Diefenbaker

Andrew Tumilty: How long can Ford's luck hold? (The Line)


If you have ever spent any time in a casino, you probably understand the fallacies of chance and probability. For example, if the roulette wheel has landed on red 10 times in a row, people will bet on red, believing that the streak will continue, while others bet on black, “knowing” the same streak can’t possibly continue. 

Of course, the wheel doesn’t know that it landed on red 10 times in a row, so the odds are the same on the 11th spin as they were on the first. 

Ontario’s Premier Doug Ford is a talented retail politician. He is the son of an MPP and inherited a multi-million-dollar family business, yet consistently portrays himself as an everyman here for the little guy. His talent should not be dismissed, but neither should a lengthy streak of good luck that, like the ball on the roulette wheel, was entirely beyond his control ...

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