That's a silly question. He would never do that. No party leader would do that.
Except, he's now sat there for two weeks, over two weeks actually, heading into three, mulling his future.
He's heard the calls to resign going back to August when the by-election defeats rolled in. He told the party he would carefully consider their words and that he'd talk to them about his future. If anyone paid attention the Liberal MPs got their answer not directly from Trudeau, but instead the media when he told the media he was staying on.
Trudeau never had any intention of resigning in the fall.
Why might he be taking his time?
The
first possibility is that he's seeing what golden parachute is being
prepared for him. Don't kid yourself, the Liberal Party of Canada can
grease wheels like no one else. Trudeau expects a career after politics
that sounds important and pays well. A token role on a few boards at
some large companies, along with being named a lecturer at a university
might be enough to persuade him.
The
second possibility is that Justin Trudeau thinks he can win the next
election if given the opportunity. Most people that are good observers
of politics would say that is not borderline but outright delusional.
The
third possibility is that Justin Trudeau is an arrogant, narcissist
that is going to hang on and burn the Liberal Party to the ground out of
spite.
I personally think he's seeing what the party can do for a golden parachute. That's the logical answer and it is well rooted in history.
Would
he actually want to lead the party into another election? He probably
does. Anyone looking at the numbers today, and we have a lot of data - a
record amount of polling data - knows he could not win the next
election. He can win his own seat. That's about it. So I do not think
he'll lead the party into the next election.
Would
he burn the party to the ground out of spite? In my mind, no, he would
not do that. Yet, there are people out there in the political
community, as it were, that think he might.
Trudeau
is a man with a lot of privilege. His whole life is an expression of
privilege. He's never had to actually work for anything. Work, for
him, was something to try out. Bills were never a problem. His father
left him with a lot of money. Applying for a job, no sweat, his name
opened doors.
When
he ran for Parliament the seat was effectively opened for him, and only
him. When he ran for the leadership, his challengers were all B-Team
Liberals. Anyone considered strong didn't run.
Justin Trudeau, today, is being told he's not wanted, or welcome. He's being told no.
I wonder if he's ever really been told no. I know kids that were
raised by parents, spoiled as they say, that as young adults were
nightmares. They were never told no. They felt entitled to everything
they wanted. And they lashed out when they were denied.
This is why I titled this post Is Justin Trudeau going to burn down the Liberal Party? It
seems so farfetched to me that this is a possibility I would consider
devoting more than a single sentence to. Yet, here I am several
paragraphs in. I can see the sliver of probability here.
Could
he actually do that? Of course. The Liberals didn't avail themselves
of Michael Chong's Reform Act. They removed the party's ability to
remove the leader. They have no tool to dump Justin Trudeau. The BC
United party found out the hard way what a nearly legally omnipotent
leader can do. Kevin Falcon killed the party with the stroke of a pen
back in August.
The only person that can stop Justin Trudeau, is Justin Trudeau.
Still,
I believe he's looking for the golden parachute. I have to believe
that. I don't think I'd be able to look at politics the same if we had a
leader that burned his own party to the ground out of spite.
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