Last week, I said that I was waiting for corroboration or refutation of the trends being picked up by EKOS Research. With new numbers out over the last week from Léger, Abacus Data and Nanos Research, it seems like the direction of the trend has been corroborated while the size of the Liberals’ surge has been refuted. ... the balance of evidence points to an increase in Liberal support of only a few points, closing the gap with the Conservatives to between 15 and 20 points. No one yet is showing anything close to statistical tie EKOS picked up in its polls. Léger finds that the Liberals are up four points since the beginning of January and five points since before the Christmas break. Abacus shows a two point increase over the last few weeks while Nanos has the Liberals up four points compared to its pre-holidays polling. That’s a clear trend, but it doesn’t match the 14-point gain that EKOS has observed since its December poll ... CLICK HERE for the full story
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