There’s been lots of talk lately that Justin Trudeau’s time might be up and how past prime ministers in the same position as him have been cooked, whether they recognized it or not.
Things have certainly shifted over the last few months. Had you asked me in the spring for odds on Trudeau running again in 2025, I would have set it at 95%. Now, I’m not even sure if I can put it as high as 50%.
When things are snowballing, every decision can make matters worse. The prime minister’s announcement that home heating oil would be exempted from the carbon tax — a move that primarily benefits Atlantic Canadians — is just the latest misstep. Polls put the Liberals some 14 points behind the Conservatives, though that trend had already set in before this decision was made.
That’s a big hole to dig out of ...CLICK HERE for the full commentary

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