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“I am a Canadian, free to speak without fear, free to worship in my own way, free to stand for what I think right, free to oppose what I believe wrong, or free to choose those who shall govern my country. This heritage of freedom I pledge to uphold for myself and all mankind.” ~~ John G. Diefenbaker

How to make sense of the Durham byelection results, plus the latest seat estimates (The Writ)


The importance of Monday’s federal byelection in Durham is not what the results revealed but rather what they confirmed — namely, that the Conservatives are in a position to win a strong majority government and that the Liberals, unless anything changes, are on track for defeat.

As expected, the Conservatives’ Jamil Jivani won the byelection in Durham, a riding in the eastern Greater Toronto Area that was previously held by Erin O’Toole and, before that, by Bev Oda and the Conservative Party since 2004. He took 57.4% of the vote, a significant jump of 11 points over O’Toole’s performance in the 2021 general election. It’s the Conservatives’ best result in this part of Ontario since the 1984 election, when the PCs under Brian Mulroney won their massive landslide . . . .

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