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“I am a Canadian, free to speak without fear, free to worship in my own way, free to stand for what I think right, free to oppose what I believe wrong, or free to choose those who shall govern my country. This heritage of freedom I pledge to uphold for myself and all mankind.” ~~ John G. Diefenbaker

David Coletto: Four myths (and one truth) about the 2025 federal election (The Hub)


Elections are messy, emotional, and complex, and the 2025 Canadian federal election was no exception. In the weeks since the results came in, I’ve consumed a lot of commentary, analysis, and hot takes from journalists, pundits, campaign operatives, and academics. Some of it matches what I saw in the data. But a lot of it doesn’t.

Since early March, Abacus Data has conducted eight national surveys, interviewing over 20,000 Canadians. We also fielded a comprehensive post-election survey with 1,500 eligible voters in the days immediately following election day. These polls give us a uniquely detailed picture of what happened. And not just how people voted, but why.

So, I thought it was worth setting the record straight on five of the most common myths or perspectives I’ve heard about the 2025 election. Some of these myths contain a grain of truth. But most oversimplify what was a complicated election shaped by two dominant forces: a desire for change at home and anxiety about what’s happening south of our borders.

Here are five myths about the 2025 election ...

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