The Conservatives can't just win more votes to win the election—they have to win a lot more votes (The Hub)
With just days to go before Election Day, the 2025 federal election is shaping up to be one of the most closely watched—and misunderstood—in recent memory.
Most polls, including ours at Abacus Data, show a tight race. For the past three weeks, we’ve consistently had the Liberals ahead of the Conservatives by 2 to 3 points nationally. Among those who have already voted or are most certain to vote, the gap grows to 5. That may not sound like much. But in our electoral system and in the current context, that would be plenty for the Liberals to win a majority.
Because in Canada, a party doesn’t need to win the most votes to win the most seats. And if there’s one thing Conservatives should know by now, it’s this: winning the popular vote is not enough ...
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