Why some voters are sticking with Singh and the NDP and why others are voting Liberal despite being open to voting NDP (infocus)
Something significant has happened to the NDP vote in this federal election. A party that, for much of the past two years, consistently held between 18% and 20% support now finds itself with just 9% of the committed vote, according to our latest Abacus Data survey conducted from April 7 to 10, 2025. That’s a collapse—one of the most dramatic shifts we’ve seen in this campaign. The last time support for the NDP was this low was way back in the 1990s.
Based on our last survey, only about 1 in 3 of those who voted NDP in 2021 would vote for the party again today. Almost half of those voters are now supporting the Liberals.
And 1 in 3 of those who self-identify as a New Democrat say they are voting Liberal in this election. It’s almost the reverse of 2011 when millions of Liberal partisans lent Jack Layton and the NDP their votes.
In this piece, I want to uncover why this happening ...
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