Every election campaign is an opportunity to remind ourselves one important thing about the polls: they reflect the voting intentions of the general population and not necessarily those of the actual voting population.
When there is little difference between the views of voters and non-voters, the impact on the polls is minimal. But when we do see big polling errors, this is often the source of the problem.
So, what impact could who actually turns out to vote have on the results?
Before we get into that, today’s update ...
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