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“I am a Canadian, free to speak without fear, free to worship in my own way, free to stand for what I think right, free to oppose what I believe wrong, or free to choose those who shall govern my country. This heritage of freedom I pledge to uphold for myself and all mankind.” ~~ John G. Diefenbaker

Why are the Carney Liberals the favourites to win this election if it was held today? (InFocus)


In this second week of the federal campaign, the question on many people’s minds is why the Liberals—under their new leader and Prime Minister, Mark Carney—seem poised for re‑election. Our latest polling suggests they’re currently the favourites to clinch another victory. But beyond public sentiment, we also have some more advanced analytical tools that help to paint a clearer picture of what’s truly driving support for the Liberals.

One such tool is a binary logistic regression, which can give us insights into how different factors—like impressions of leaders, policy perceptions, and demographic traits—translate into someone choosing (or not choosing) the Liberal ticket ...

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